Saturday, September 27, 2008

538 check

Nate Silver showing a growing lead for Obama, in polling before the debate. It will be interesting to see the national polling results from last night. The pundit opinion was mixed, while undecided voters apparently favored Obama. I'm not sure what bothers me more: 1) that the debate was full of nonsense and distortions or 2) that the media narrative based on the presentation of that nonsense will probably have more effect on polls than the actual debate. It's really a putrid cycle. I thought both candidates did well, in different ways. McCain certainly came across contemptuous, which the pundits think is bad. The use of "Senator Obama doesn't understand" had to be a ploy but I'm also sure McCain believes it. It's hard to imagine a more anticipated VP debate than the one coming up.